Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 14, 2024 at 5pm UK

Orlando Stadium

Zimbabwe
3 - 1
Namibia

Musona (50', 61' pen.), Dube (89')
Hadebe (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silveador Claudius Eiseb (90')
Ileni Amutenya (47')

Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Zimbabwe and Namibia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, October 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Namibia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Namibia 0-1 Zimbabwe
Thursday, October 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zimbabwe win with a probability of 35.07%. A win for Namibia had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 31.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zimbabwe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.99%) and 2-1 (6.61%). The likeliest Namibia win was 0-1 (13.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Zimbabwe would win this match.

Result
Zimbabwe	Draw	Namibia
35.07% ( 0.18)	31.58% ( 0.06)	33.35% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 38.15% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.26% (

-0.17)

69.74% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.93% (

-0.11)

87.07% (

0.11)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.39% (

0.03)

37.61% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.61% (

0.03)

74.39% (

-0.03)

Namibia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.15% (

-0.28)

38.85% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42% (

-0.26)

75.58% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Zimbabwe 35.06%

Namibia 33.34%

Draw 31.57%

Zimbabwe	Draw	Namibia
1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 35.06%	0-0 @ 14.61% ( 0.1) 1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.57%	0-1 @ 13.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 33.34%