Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 33.6%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 33.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.73%) and 1-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 1-0 (14.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (16.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.