Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK

Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium

Nigeria
3 - 0
Benin

Lookman (45+2', 83'), Osimhen (78')
Bassey (39'), Lookman (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Olaitan (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Last Game: Benin 2-1 Nigeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Benin

All competitions

Last Game: Benin 2-1 Nigeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Benin had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Benin
58.98% ( 0.11)	24.52% ( -0.27)	16.5% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 41.52% (

0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.84% (

1.11)

58.16% (

-1.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.19% (

0.86)

78.81% (

-0.86)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.36% (

0.48)

19.64% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.4% (

0.77)

51.6% (

-0.77)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.67% (

0.88)

48.33% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.53% (

0.63)

83.47% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 58.98%

Benin 16.5%

Draw 24.52%

Nigeria	Draw	Benin
1-0 @ 15.45% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 12.57% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 58.98%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.52%	0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.02% Total : 16.5%