World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Benin
1 - 0
Rwanda

Dodo (37')
Dodo (44'), Imourane (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Imanishimwe (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Benin and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Senegal 1-0 Benin
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Rwanda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Benin in this match.

Result
Benin	Draw	Rwanda
48.79% ( 0.02)	27.71% ( 0.02)	23.5% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 42.9% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.4% (

-0.09)

61.6% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.56% (

-0.06)

81.44% (

0.06)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.03)

25.46% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-0.04)

60.29% (

0.03)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.56% (

-0.09)

42.44% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

-0.08)

78.81% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Benin 48.79%

Rwanda 23.5%

Draw 27.7%

Benin	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.11% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 48.79%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.7%	0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.5%