/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniglog_1.png)
-
Jodel Dossou
37'
-
Steve Mounie
45'+3'
-
Raphael Onyedika
27'
-
Akinola Ismail
90'+3'
Benin vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fnigeria.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result
Benin
35.1%
▲
(+0.21)
Draw
29.24%
▲
(+0.09)
Nigeria
35.66%
▼
(-0.30)
Both Teams to Score:
44.2%
▼
(-0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5
37.36%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
62.64%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
17.79%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
82.21%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 4.5
7.1%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 4.5
92.9%
▲
(+0.12)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5
66.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
33.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
29.64%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
70.36%
▲
(+0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
66.67%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 0.5
33.33%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 1.5
30.05%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 1.5
69.95%
▲
(+0.38)
Score analysis
Benin
35.09%
Draw
29.23%
Nigeria
35.66%
Benin
1-0
@
12.21%
▲
(+0.13)
2-1 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.09%
2-1 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.09%
Draw
1-1
@
13.42%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.23%
0-0 @ 11.23% ▲ (+0.13)
2-2 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.23%
Nigeria
0-1
@
12.34%
▲
(+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.66%
1-2 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.66%