World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Benin
2 - 1
Nigeria

Dossou (37'), Mounie (45+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Onyedika (27')
Ismail (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Benin and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 1-0 Rwanda
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Nigeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 South Africa
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.37%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Benin	Draw	Nigeria
35.1% ( 0.2)	29.24% ( 0.09)	35.66% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 44.2% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.36% (

-0.29)

62.64% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.79% (

-0.21)

82.21% (

0.21)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.3% (

-0.02)

33.7% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.64% (

-0.02)

70.36% (

0.02)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.67% (

-0.34)

33.33% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.05% (

-0.38)

69.95% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Benin 35.09%

Nigeria 35.66%

Draw 29.23%

Benin	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 12.21% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.09%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.23%	0-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.66%