Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny

Benin
2 - 1
Libya

Mounie (50'), Olaitan (62' pen.)
Mounie (54')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Al Badri (9' pen.)
Shafshuf (13'), Mukhtar Al Shremi (45+3'), Al Badri (54'), Abo Shaalah (54'), Arteeba (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Benin and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 3-0 Benin
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Libya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Benin had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Benin win was 1-0 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benin in this match.

Result
Benin	Draw	Libya
35.3% ( -0.44)	27.95% ( 0.46)	36.75% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.93% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.92% (

-1.79)

58.08% (

1.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.25% (

-1.43)

78.75% (

1.42)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.78% (

-1.18)

31.22% (

1.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.43% (

-1.39)

67.56% (

1.39)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

-0.89)

30.31% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

-1.08)

66.49% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Benin 35.3%

Libya 36.74%

Draw 27.94%

Benin	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.3%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.74%