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Africa Cup of Nations

Libya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
11 June Stadium
Rwanda national football team

Libya
1 - 1
Rwanda

Al Dawi (16')
Aldeen Al Qulaib (34'), Arteeba (42'), Al Badri (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nshutiyamagara (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Libya and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions
Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Libya
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Rwanda

All competitions
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Rwanda
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 40.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 29.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
LibyaDrawRwanda
40.14% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)30.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)29.22% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 39.49% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)85.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81% (0.00099999999999056 0)33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.11% (-0.012 -0.01)40.9% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.54% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)77.46% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Libya 40.14%
    Rwanda 29.21%
    Draw 30.64%
LibyaDrawRwanda
1-0 @ 14.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 40.14%
0-0 @ 13.57%
1-1 @ 13.38%
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.64%
0-1 @ 12.13%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 29.21%

How you voted: Libya vs Rwanda

Libya
48.9%
Draw
29.8%
Rwanda
21.3%
47
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2018 7pm
Group Stage
Rwanda
0-1
Libya

Rutanga (51'), Usengimana (66'), Niyonzima (71'), Ndayishimiye (80')
Abushnaf (93')