World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Orlando Stadium

Lesotho
0 - 1
Rwanda

Fothoane (26'), Mkwanazi (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kwizera (45')
Bizimana (20'), Mugisha (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Lesotho and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: Zimbabwe 0-2 Lesotho
Friday, June 7 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Rwanda

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 1-0 Rwanda
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 36.43%. A win for Lesotho had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.26%) and 1-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Lesotho win was 1-0 (13.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rwanda in this match.

Result
Lesotho	Draw	Rwanda
32.66% ( -0.16)	30.9% ( -0.11)	36.43% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 39.72% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.11% (

0.3)

67.89% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.14% (

0.2)

85.86% (

-0.2)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.71% (

0.05)

38.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.95% (

0.05)

75.05% (

-0.05)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.36% (

0.34)

35.63% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.59% (

0.35)

72.4% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Lesotho 32.66%

Rwanda 36.42%

Draw 30.89%

Lesotho	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 32.66%	0-0 @ 13.64% ( -0.15) 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.89%	0-1 @ 14.07% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.42%