Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de l'Amitie

Benin
3 - 0
Rwanda

Mounie (7'), Hountondji (67'), Imourane (70')
Hountondji (65'), Hountondji (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kwizera (40'), Omborenga (51'), Niyigena (63'), Mbonyumwami (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Benin and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benin

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 2-1 Libya
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	2	5
2	Cameroon	3	2	5
3	Benin	3	0	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-4	1

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 41.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 28.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benin would win this match.

Result
Benin	Draw	Rwanda
41.3% ( 0.43)	30.09% ( 0.05)	28.61% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 40.55% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.66% (

-0.28)

66.34% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.18% (

-0.19)

84.82% (

0.19)

Benin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

0.1)

31.75% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

0.12)

68.18% (

-0.12)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.41% (

-0.56)

40.59% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.81% (

-0.5)

77.18% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Benin 41.3%

Rwanda 28.61%

Draw 30.08%

Benin	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 14.78% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.24% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.3%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.08%	0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.32% Total : 28.61%