/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Frwalog.png)
-
Steve Mounie
7'
-
Andreas Hountondji
65'
-
Andreas Hountondji
67'
-
Hassane Imourane
70'
-
Cedric Hountondji
90'+3'
-
Jojea Kwizera
40'
-
Fitina Omborenga
51'
-
Clement Niyigena
63'
-
Taiba Mbonyumwami
89'
Benin vs Rwanda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fbenin.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benin win with a probability of 41.3%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benin win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 2-1 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benin would win this match.
Result
Benin
41.3%
▲
(+0.43)
Draw
30.09%
▲
(+0.05)
Rwanda
28.61%
▼
(-0.48)
Both Teams to Score:
40.55%
▼
(-0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5
33.66%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 2.5
66.34%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 3.5
15.18%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 3.5
84.82%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 4.5
5.71%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 4.5
94.28%
▲
(+0.10)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5
68.24%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
31.75%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
31.82%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
68.18%
▼
(-0.13)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5
59.41%
▼
(-0.56)
Under 0.5
40.59%
▲
(+0.56)
Over 1.5
22.81%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
77.18%
▲
(+0.51)
Score analysis
Benin
41.3%
Draw
30.08%
Rwanda
28.61%
Benin
1-0
@
14.78%
▲
(+0.20)
2-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.3%
2-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.14)
2-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.07)
3-1 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 41.3%
Draw
1-1
@
13.33%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 12.88% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.08%
0-0 @ 12.88% ▲ (+0.14)
2-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 30.08%
Rwanda
0-1
@
11.62%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 28.61%
1-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.11)
0-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.81% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 28.61%