Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Frwalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniglog_1.png)
-
Claude Niyomugabo
26'
-
Djihad Bizimana
28'
-
Samuel Chukwueze
26'
-
Ola Aina
45'+3'
Rwanda vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fola-aina-of-nigeria.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 37.1%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Rwanda win it was 1-0 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood.
Result
Rwanda
30.9%
▼
(-0.11)
Draw
32%
▼
(-0.05)
Nigeria
37.1%
▲
(+0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
36.91%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
28.98%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
71.02%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
12.12%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
87.88%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 4.5
4.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 4.5
95.78%
▼
(-0.04)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5
58.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
41.46%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
22.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
77.97%
▲
(+0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
63.05%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
36.95%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
26.26%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 1.5
73.73%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Rwanda
30.9%
Draw
31.99%
Nigeria
37.1%
Rwanda
1-0
@
13.48%
▼
(-0.06)
2-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.9%
2-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.9%
Draw
0-0
@
15.32%
▼
(-0.07)
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 31.99%
1-1 @ 13.42%
2-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 31.99%
Nigeria
0-1
@
15.25%
▲
(+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.1%
0-2 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 37.1%