Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Regional de Nyamirambo

Rwanda
0 - 0
Nigeria

Niyomugabo (26'), Bizimana (28')

Chukwueze (26'), Aina (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Libya 1-1 Rwanda
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 3-0 Benin
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 37.1%. A draw had a probability of 32% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 30.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.59%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.32%), while for a Rwanda win it was 1-0 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	Nigeria
30.9% ( -0.1)	32% ( -0.05)	37.1% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 36.91% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.98% (

0.1)

71.02% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.12% (

0.06)

87.88% (

-0.07)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.53% (

-0.02)

41.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.03% (

-0.02)

77.97% (

0.01)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05% (

0.16)

36.95% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.26% (

0.15)

73.73% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Rwanda 30.9%

Nigeria 37.1%

Draw 31.99%

Rwanda	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 13.48% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 30.9%	0-0 @ 15.32% ( -0.06) 1-1 @ 13.42% 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 31.99%	0-1 @ 15.25% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.1%