Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Libya had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Libya win it was 1-0 (9.21%).