Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

11 June Stadium

Libya
P-P
Nigeria

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Libya and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 51.07%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Libya had a probability of 20.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.18%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Libya win it was 1-0 (9.21%).

Result
Libya	Draw	Nigeria
20.71% ( -0.04)	28.22% ( 0)	51.07% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 38.88% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.81% (

-0.04)

65.18% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.98% (

-0.03)

84.02% (

0.03)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.55% (

-0.07)

47.45% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.18% (

-0.05)

82.82% (

0.05)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.98% (

26.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0)

61.05% (

Score Analysis

Libya 20.71%

Nigeria 51.06%

Draw 28.21%

Libya	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 20.71%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 28.21%	0-1 @ 16.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 11.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 51.06%