Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 5pm UK

Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium

Nigeria
1 - 0
Libya

Dele-Bashiru (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Almusrat (45+1'), Al Woheshi (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, September 10 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Libya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 2-1 Libya
Tuesday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Libya had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.79%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Libya
57.68% ( 0.07)	26.22% ( -0.01)	16.1% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 36.9% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.05% (

-0.04)

63.95% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.85% (

-0.03)

83.15% (

0.03)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.48% (

0.02)

22.52% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.91% (

0.02)

56.09% (

-0.01)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.62% (

-0.1)

52.38% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.75% (

-0.06)

86.25% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 57.67%

Libya 16.1%

Draw 26.21%

Nigeria	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 17.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 13.1% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 57.67%	0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.02) 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 16.1%