Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
  • Fisayo Dele-Bashiru 87' goal
  • yellowcard Ali Almusrat 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Murad Al Woheshi 58'

Nigeria vs Libya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 2.00pm
Rwanda 0 - 0 Nigeria

Libya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 10, 2024 8.00pm
Benin 2 - 1 Libya

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Libya had a probability of 16.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.1%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.79%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nigeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Nigeria.

Result

Nigeria 57.68% (+0.07)
Draw 26.22% (-0.01)
Libya 16.1% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.9% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.05% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 63.95% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.85% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 83.15% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 6.59% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 93.41% (+0.02)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5 77.48% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.52% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.09% (-0.02)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5 47.62% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 52.38% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 13.75% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 86.25% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Nigeria 57.67%
Draw 26.21%
Libya 16.1%
Nigeria
1-0 @ 17.58% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 13.1% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.51% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57%
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 57.67%
Draw
0-0 @ 11.79% (+0.02)
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 26.21%
Libya
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 16.1%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Jan 19, 2018 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ahmed Al Maghasi 32' yellowcard
  • Sand Msoud 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kalu Orji 30'
  • yellowcard Ojo Solomon 76'
  • goal Sunday Faleye 79'