World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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Djihad Bizimana
46'
-
Victor Osimhen
11'
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Victor Osimhen
45'+3'
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Wilfred Ndidi
49'
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Alex Iwobi
90'
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Tolu Arokodare
90'+3'
Rwanda vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 39.36%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Nigeria had a probability of 30.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 2-1 (7.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.45%), while for a Nigeria win it was 0-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result
Rwanda
39.36%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
30.62%
▼
(-0.05)
Nigeria
30.02%
▲
(+0.16)
Both Teams to Score:
39.81%
▲
(+0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
32.5%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 2.5
67.5%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
14.4%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
85.6%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
5.32%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
94.68%
▼
(-0.05)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5
66.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
33.54%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
29.83%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
70.18%
▼
(-0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
59.89%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
40.11%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
23.25%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
76.75%
▼
(-0.20)
Score analysis
Rwanda
39.36%
Draw
30.62%
Nigeria
30.01%
Rwanda
1-0
@
14.69%
▼
(-0.09)
2-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.36%
2-0 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 39.36%
Draw
0-0
@
13.45%
▼
(-0.08)
1-1 @ 13.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.62%
1-1 @ 13.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.62%
Nigeria
0-1
@
12.28%
1-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 30.01%
1-2 @ 6.13% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 30.01%