Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 14, 2024 at 4pm UK

Stade Regional de Nyamirambo

Rwanda
0 - 1
Libya

Manzi (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Al Hadi Saeed (84')
Al Woheshi (61'), Saleh (70'), Al Shareef (90+1'), Al Dawi (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Rwanda and Libya, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 2-1 Benin
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Libya

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 1-0 Libya
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Libya had a probability of 16.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.4%), while for a Libya win it was 0-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Rwanda	Draw	Libya
56.59% ( 0)	26.87%	16.53% ( -0)

Both teams to score 36.22% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.69% (

-0)

65.3% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.9% (

-0)

84.1% (

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.43% (

-0)

23.57% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

57.64% (

-0)

Libya Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.39% (

-0)

52.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.6% (

-0)

86.4% (

Score Analysis

Rwanda 56.58%

Libya 16.53%

Draw 26.87%

Rwanda	Draw	Libya
1-0 @ 17.92% 2-0 @ 12.94% 2-1 @ 8.32% 3-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.01% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.17% Total : 56.58%	0-0 @ 12.4% 1-1 @ 11.51% 2-2 @ 2.67% Other @ 0.29% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 7.97% 1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.56% Other @ 2.31% Total : 16.53%