Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
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-
Samuel Chukwueze
59'
-
Djihad Bizimana
25'
-
Bonheur Mugisha
29'
-
Mutsinzi Ange
72'
-
Ismael Nshutiyamagara
75'
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Ismael Nshutiyamagara
90'
Nigeria vs Rwanda - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 16.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.7%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result
Nigeria
57.59%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
26.19%
▲
(+0.02)
Rwanda
16.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
37.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.26%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
63.74%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 3.5
17%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
83%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 4.5
6.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
93.33%
▲
(+0.02)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5
77.53%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
22.47%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
43.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
56.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Rwanda Goals
Over 0.5
47.91%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
52.09%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
13.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
86.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Nigeria
57.58%
Draw
26.18%
Rwanda
16.22%
Nigeria
1-0
@
17.47%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 57.58%
2-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 57.58%
Draw
0-0
@
11.7%
▲
(+0.01)
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 26.18%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 26.18%
Rwanda
0-1
@
7.63%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.22%
1-2 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 16.22%