Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 18, 2024 at 4pm UK

Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium

Nigeria
1 - 2
Rwanda

Chukwueze (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ange (72'), Nshutiyamagara (75')
Bizimana (25'), Mugisha (29'), Nshutiyamagara (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Rwanda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Benin 1-1 Nigeria
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Rwanda

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-1 Libya
Thursday, November 14 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	3	7
2	Libya	3	3	6
3	Rwanda	3	0	4
4	Equatorial Guinea	3	-6	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Rwanda had a probability of 16.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.04%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.7%), while for a Rwanda win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Nigeria	Draw	Rwanda
57.59% ( -0.02)	26.19% ( 0.01)	16.22% ( 0)

Both teams to score 37.15% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.26% (

-0.03)

63.74% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17% (

-0.02)

83% (

0.02)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.53% (

-0.02)

22.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.98% (

-0.03)

56.02% (

0.03)

Rwanda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.91% (

-0.01)

52.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.94% (

-0.01)

86.06% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Nigeria 57.58%

Rwanda 16.22%

Draw 26.18%

Nigeria	Draw	Rwanda
1-0 @ 17.47% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 13.04% 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 57.58%	0-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 2.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 16.22%