CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 15, 2024 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Independence Park
  • Damion Lowe 61' yellowcard
  • Damion Lowe 61' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 69' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 69' yellowcard
  • Mason Holgate 76' yellowcard
  • Mason Holgate 76' yellowcard
  • Mason Holgate 86' redcard
  • Mason Holgate 86' redcard
  • Isaac Hayden 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 5'
  • goal Ricardo Pepi 5'
  • yellowcard Weston McKennie 50'
  • yellowcard Weston McKennie 50'
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 69'
  • yellowcard Antonee Robinson 69'

Jamaica vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Jamaica

All competitions

USA

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for USA in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for USA.

Result

Jamaica 30.39% (-0.04)
Draw 28.97% (-0.01)
USA 40.64% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.06% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.61% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 62.39% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 17.98% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 82.02% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 7.2% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 92.8% (-0.01)

Jamaica Goals

Over 0.5 63.06% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 36.94% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 26.27% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 73.73% (+0.03)

USA Goals

Over 0.5 69.87% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.13% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.72% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 66.27% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Jamaica 30.39%
Draw 28.95%
USA 40.64%
Jamaica
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.62% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 30.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 11.12% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.95%
USA
0-1 @ 13.35% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.98% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.2% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 40.64%

Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
Mar 21, 2024 11.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
ET Nippert Stadium
  • Joe Scally 12' yellowcard
  • Cory Burke 90'+6' goal
  • Haji Wright 96' goal
  • Haji Wright 109' goal
  • goal Gregory Leigh 1'
  • yellowcard Dexter Lembikisa 51'
  • yellowcard Kasey Palmer 54'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 69'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jun 25, 2023 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Soldier Field
  • Brandon Vazquez 88' goal
  • Brandon Vazquez 88' goal
  • goal Damion Lowe 13'
  • goal Damion Lowe 13'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Nov 16, 2021 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Je-Vaughn Watson 8' yellowcard
  • Michail Antonio 22' goal
  • Javain Brown 40' yellowcard
  • goal Timothy Weah 11'
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Oct 8, 2021 12.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ricardo Pepi 49' goal
  • Ricardo Pepi 62' goal
  • yellowcard Kemar Lawrence 1'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lowe 34'
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Jul 26, 2021 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT AT&T Stadium
  • Matthew Hoppe 83' goal
  • yellowcard Cory Burke 30'
  • yellowcard Blair Turgott 50'
  • yellowcard Damion Lowe 89'
International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2021 5.20pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Wiener Neustadter Stadion
  • Sergino Dest 34' goal
  • Reggie Cannon 48' yellowcard
  • Brenden Aaronson 53' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 83' goal
  • Sebastian Lletget 90' goal
  • goal Jamal Lowe 71'