Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 68.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.44%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.