CONCACAF Nations League
Sep 7, 2024 3.00am
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino
  • Alexander Lopez 39' goal
  • Alexander Lopez 39' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 45'+2' goal
  • Kervin Arriaga 45'+2' goal
  • Anthony Lozano 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Anthony Lozano 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Edwin Rodriguez 54' goal
  • Edwin Rodriguez 54' goal
  • Luis Palma 64' yellowcard
  • Luis Palma 64' yellowcard
  • David Ruiz 86' goal
  • David Ruiz 86' goal
  • yellowcard Steffen Yeates 28'
  • yellowcard Steffen Yeates 28'
  • yellowcard Alvin Jones 63'
  • yellowcard Alvin Jones 63'
  • yellowcard Justin Garcia 76'
  • yellowcard Justin Garcia 76'

Honduras vs Trinidad and Tobago - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 1-2 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result

Honduras 77.33% (+0.13)
Draw 13.49% (-0.14)
Trinidad and Tobago 9.17% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.07% (+0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5 73.27% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 26.73% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 52.85% (+0.99)
Under 3.5 47.15% (-0.98)
Over 4.5 33.41% (+0.94)
Under 4.5 66.59% (-0.93)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5 94.4% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 5.6% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 78.25% (+0.53)
Under 1.5 21.75% (-0.53)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5 60.46% (+0.63)
Under 0.5 39.55% (-0.63)
Over 1.5 23.77% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 76.23% (-0.58)

Score analysis

Honduras 77.33%
Draw 13.49%
Trinidad and Tobago 9.17%
Honduras
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 8.84% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 8.2% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.24)
4-0 @ 6.37% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 5.91% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.8% (+0.08)
5-0 @ 3.67% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 3.41% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 2.74% (+0.09)
6-0 @ 1.76% (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.64% (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.58% (+0.07)
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 77.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.92% (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.96% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.22% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 13.49%
Trinidad and Tobago
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.06% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.22% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 9.17%