CONCACAF Nations League | League A

Sep 7, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Tiburcio Carias Andino

Honduras
4 - 0
Trin. & Tob.

Lopez (39', 39'), Arriaga (45+2', 45+2'), Rodriguez (54', 54'), Ruiz (86', 86')
Lozano (45+3'), Lozano (45+3'), Palma (64'), Palma (64')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Yeates (28'), Yeates (28'), Jones (63'), Jones (63'), Garcia (76'), Garcia (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Honduras and Trinidad and Tobago, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions

Last Game: Ecuador 2-1 Honduras
Sunday, June 16 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League A Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Jamaica	4	5	10
2	Honduras	4	7	7
3	Suriname	4	3	5
4	Cuba	4	-3	5
5	Haiti	4	-1	3
6	Grenada	4	-11	1

Trinidad and Tobago

All competitions

Last Game: Bahamas 1-7 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League A Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Panama	4	7	10
2	Trinidad and Tobago	4	1	9
3	Martinique	4	-1	7
4	Guatemala	4	-2	4
5	Curacao	4	-1	3
6	El Salvador	4	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 77.33%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Trinidad and Tobago had a probability of 9.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for a Trinidad and Tobago win it was 1-2 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
Honduras	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
77.33% ( 0.13)	13.49% ( -0.13)	9.17% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.07% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.27% (

0.78)

26.73% (

-0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.85% (

0.98)

47.15% (

-0.98)

Honduras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.4% (

0.19)

5.6% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.25% (

0.53)

21.75% (

-0.52)

Trinidad and Tobago Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.46% (

0.63)

39.55% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.77% (

0.58)

76.23% (

-0.57)

Score Analysis

Honduras 77.33%

Trinidad and Tobago 9.17%

Draw 13.49%

Honduras	Draw	Trinidad and Tobago
2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.08) 6-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) Other @ 5.3% Total : 77.33%	1-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.22% Total : 13.49%	1-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.17%