Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Bahamas win it was 2-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trinidad and Tobago would win this match.