Bahamas national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2023 at 11pm UK
The Roscow A.L. Davies Soccer Field - BFA National Centre
Antigua and Barbuda national football team

Bahamas
1 - 4
Antigua

Julmis (62', 62')
FT(HT: 0-6)
Stevens (3', 3', 9', 9'), Bramble (43', 43'), Griffith (77' pen., 77' pen.)
Griffith (37'), Griffith (37'), Drew (66'), Drew (66')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bahamas and Antigua and Barbuda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahamas

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Guyana 3-2 Bahamas
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Puerto Rico 5-0 Antigua
Wednesday, September 13 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antigua and Barbuda win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antigua and Barbuda win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.6%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Antigua and Barbuda would win this match.

Result
BahamasDrawAntigua and Barbuda
21.14% (0.265 0.27)25.34% (0.677 0.68)53.52% (-0.94 -0.94)
Both teams to score 46.47% (-1.547 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (-2.234 -2.23)55.55% (2.236 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (-1.86 -1.86)76.72% (1.862 1.86)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-1.005 -1.01)41.34% (1.006 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.898 -0.9)77.86% (0.90000000000001 0.9)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-1.257 -1.26)20.77% (1.259 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (-2.015 -2.01)53.42% (2.017 2.02)
Score Analysis
    Bahamas 21.14%
    Antigua and Barbuda 53.51%
    Draw 25.34%
BahamasDrawAntigua and Barbuda
1-0 @ 7.59% (0.439 0.44)
2-1 @ 5.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.35% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.22% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 21.14%
1-1 @ 11.92% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.717 0.72)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 13.49% (0.63 0.63)
0-2 @ 10.6% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-3 @ 5.56% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 4.91% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.192 -0.19)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.195 -0.2)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.51%