Antigua and Barbuda national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 9, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Guyana national football team

Antigua
1 - 5
Guyana

Kellman (45' og.)
Graham (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Glasgow (14', 29' pen., 87'), Benjamin (33', 62')
Kellman (5')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Antigua and Barbuda and Guyana.

Form, Standings, Stats

Antigua and Barbuda

All competitions
Last Game: Antigua 1-2 Barbados
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Guyana

All competitions
Last Game: Ethiopia 2-0 Guyana
Thursday, August 3 at 12am in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guyana win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Antigua and Barbuda had a probability of 20.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guyana win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for an Antigua and Barbuda win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guyana would win this match.

Result
Antigua and BarbudaDrawGuyana
20.22% (0.279 0.28)23.9% (0.19 0.19)55.87% (-0.468 -0.47)
Both teams to score 49.31% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (-0.402 -0.4)51.11% (0.405 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (-0.355 -0.36)72.96% (0.355 0.36)
Antigua and Barbuda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23% (0.068999999999996 0.07)39.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56% (0.064 0.06)76.43% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Guyana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.85% (-0.319 -0.32)18.14% (0.321 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.89% (-0.55 -0.55)49.11% (0.55099999999999 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Antigua and Barbuda 20.22%
    Guyana 55.86%
    Draw 23.9%
Antigua and BarbudaDrawGuyana
1-0 @ 6.65% (0.118 0.12)
2-1 @ 5.24% (0.049 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.07% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 20.22%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 12.31% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 5.52% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.55% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.35% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 55.86%