Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puerto Rico win with a probability of 81.86%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 5.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puerto Rico win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.93%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Bahamas win it was 1-0 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Puerto Rico would win this match.