/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmexlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fusalog.png)
-
Raul Jimenez
22'
-
Raul Jimenez
22'
-
Javier Aguirre
26'
-
Javier Aguirre
26'
-
Cesar Huerta
49'
-
Cesar Huerta
49'
-
Alejandro Zendejas
75'
-
Alejandro Zendejas
75'
-
Aidan Morris
34'
-
Aidan Morris
34'
-
Edson Alvarez
75'
-
Edson Alvarez
75'
Mexico vs USA - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result
Mexico
26.4%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
26.27%
▲
(+0.30)
USA
47.32%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
49.26%
▼
(-1.00)
Goals
Over 2.5
45.32%
▼
(-1.23)
Under 2.5
54.67%
▲
(+1.23)
Over 3.5
24%
▼
(-1.03)
Under 3.5
76%
▲
(+1.03)
Over 4.5
10.73%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 4.5
89.27%
▲
(+0.65)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5
64.06%
▼
(-0.81)
Under 0.5
35.94%
▲
(+0.81)
Over 1.5
27.28%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 1.5
72.71%
▲
(+0.83)
USA Goals
Over 0.5
76.9%
▼
(-0.58)
Under 0.5
23.1%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
43.05%
▼
(-0.86)
Under 1.5
56.95%
▲
(+0.86)
Score analysis
Mexico
26.4%
Draw
26.26%
USA
47.32%
Mexico
1-0
@
8.5%
▲
(+0.22)
2-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 26.4%
2-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.35% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.09)
3-0 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 26.4%
Draw
1-1
@
12.44%
▲
(+0.11)
0-0 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.26%
0-0 @ 8.3% ▲ (+0.39)
2-2 @ 4.67% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.26%
USA
0-1
@
12.16%
▲
(+0.38)
1-2 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.32%
1-2 @ 9.12% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 8.91% ▲ (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 4.35% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.08)
0-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.32%
