Nicaragua national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League A
Oct 11, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional de Futbol
Jamaica national football team

Nicaragua
0 - 2
Jamaica


Luis Perez (80'), Luis Perez (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Quijano (32' og., 32' og.), Williams (69', 69')
Latibeaudiere (6'), Latibeaudiere (6'), Reid (45+4'), Reid (45+4'), Lowe (51'), Lowe (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Nicaragua and Jamaica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cuba 1-1 Nicaragua
Tuesday, September 10 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Honduras 1-2 Jamaica
Wednesday, September 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.

Result
NicaraguaDrawJamaica
66.05% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)20.21% (0.843 0.84)13.73% (-0.744 -0.74)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-4.798 -4.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.4% (-5.357 -5.36)46.6% (5.357 5.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.13% (-5.232 -5.23)68.87% (5.23 5.23)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (-1.63 -1.63)13.25% (1.63 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.98% (-3.396 -3.4)40.02% (3.395 3.4)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.75% (-4.418 -4.42)45.25% (4.419 4.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.87% (-3.725 -3.73)81.13% (3.724 3.72)
Score Analysis
    Nicaragua 66.04%
    Jamaica 13.73%
    Draw 20.21%
NicaraguaDrawJamaica
2-0 @ 12.24% (1.25 1.25)
1-0 @ 12.11% (1.9 1.9)
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 8.25% (0.366 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.54% (-0.52 -0.52)
4-0 @ 4.17% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.494 -0.49)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.57 -0.57)
5-0 @ 1.69% (-0.141 -0.14)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.3 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.391 -0.39)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 66.04%
1-1 @ 9.61% (0.461 0.46)
0-0 @ 5.99% (1.25 1.25)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.559 -0.56)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.21%
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.504 0.5)
1-2 @ 3.81% (-0.288 -0.29)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% (-0.298 -0.3)
1-3 @ 1.01% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Nicaragua vs Jamaica

Nicaragua
29.2%
Draw
25.0%
Jamaica
45.8%
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