CONCACAF Nations League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fniclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fjamlog.png)
-
Juan Luis Perez
80'
-
Juan Luis Perez
80'
-
Joel Latibeaudiere
6'
-
Joel Latibeaudiere
6'
-
Josue Quijano
32'
(OG)
-
Josue Quijano
32'
(OG)
-
Bobby Reid
45'+4'
-
Bobby Reid
45'+4'
-
Damion Lowe
51'
-
Damion Lowe
51'
-
Romario Williams
69'
-
Romario Williams
69'
Nicaragua vs Jamaica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fmatias-moldskred-belli.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 66.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Jamaica had a probability of 13.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Jamaica win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
Result
Nicaragua
66.05%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
20.21%
▲
(+0.85)
Jamaica
13.73%
▼
(-0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
47.5%
▼
(-4.80)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.4%
▼
(-5.36)
Under 2.5
46.6%
▲
(+5.36)
Over 3.5
31.13%
▼
(-5.24)
Under 3.5
68.87%
▲
(+5.23)
Over 4.5
15.45%
▼
(-3.84)
Under 4.5
84.54%
▲
(+3.84)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5
86.75%
▼
(-1.64)
Under 0.5
13.25%
▲
(+1.64)
Over 1.5
59.98%
▼
(-3.40)
Under 1.5
40.02%
▲
(+3.40)
Jamaica Goals
Over 0.5
54.75%
▼
(-4.42)
Under 0.5
45.25%
▲
(+4.42)
Over 1.5
18.87%
▼
(-3.73)
Under 1.5
81.13%
▲
(+3.73)
Score analysis
Nicaragua
66.04%
Draw
20.21%
Jamaica
13.73%
Nicaragua
2-0
@
12.24%
▲
(+1.25)
1-0 @ 12.11% ▲ (+1.90)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.53)
4-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.50)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.58)
5-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.31)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 66.04%
1-0 @ 12.11% ▲ (+1.90)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 8.25% ▲ (+0.37)
3-1 @ 6.54% ▼ (-0.53)
4-0 @ 4.17% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.50)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.58)
5-0 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.15)
5-1 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.31)
4-2 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.40)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 66.04%
Draw
1-1
@
9.61%
▲
(+0.47)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+1.25)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.56)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.21%
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+1.25)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.56)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 20.21%
Jamaica
0-1
@
4.75%
▲
(+0.51)
1-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.73%
1-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.29)
0-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.30)
1-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.22)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 13.73%