Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.76%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Cuba win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.