World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round

Jun 9, 2024 at 1am UK

FFB Field

Belize
0 - 4
Nicaragua

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hernandez (39', 39', 65', 65'), Barrera (56' pen., 56' pen.), Moreno (89' pen., 89' pen.)
Perez (14'), Perez (14'), Serapio (45+4'), Serapio (45+4'), Serapio (61'), Arteaga (61'), Arteaga (61'), J (61')

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Belize and Nicaragua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belize

All competitions

Last Game: Belize 0-0 Puerto Rico
Monday, March 25 at 12am in International Friendlies

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Nicaragua

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Nicaragua 4-1 Montserrat
Thursday, June 6 at 3am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Current League B Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nicaragua	0	0	0
2	Dominican Republic	0	0	0
3	Barbados	0	0	0
4	Montserrat	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Belize had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Belize win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
Belize	Draw	Nicaragua
33.29% ( 0.05)	28.13% ( 0.02)	38.58% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 47.17% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.09% (

-0.08)

58.91% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.6% (

-0.06)

79.4% (

0.06)

Belize Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.02% (

-0)

32.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

-0.01)

69.56% (

Nicaragua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

-0.08)

29.61% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35% (

-0.1)

65.65% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Belize 33.29%

Nicaragua 38.57%

Draw 28.12%

Belize	Draw	Nicaragua
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.29%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.12%	0-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 38.57%