Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 38.58%. A win for Belize had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Belize win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.