Friendlies 1

May 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Ghana
1 - 2
Nigeria

Thomas-Asante (70')
Mamudu (23')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Dessers (14')
Ogbu (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Ghana and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Last Game: Madagascar 0-3 Ghana
Monday, March 24 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Nigeria

All competitions

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, March 25 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Nigeria
43.25% ( -0.02)	28.36% ( 0)	28.39% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.79% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.95% (

61.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.97% (

81.03%

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98% (

-0.01)

28.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.33% (

-0.01)

63.67% (

0.01)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.22% (

0.01)

37.78% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.45% (

0.01)

74.55% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Ghana 43.24%

Nigeria 28.39%

Draw 28.34%

Ghana	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 13.46% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.57% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.7% Total : 43.24%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 10.3% 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.68% Total : 28.39%