Ghana vs Nigeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Nigeria had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest Nigeria win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.