World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 24, 2025 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Mimoun Al Arsi
  • John Baggio 23' yellowcard
  • Thomas Fontaine 76' yellowcard
  • goal Thomas Partey 11'
  • yellowcard Abu Francis 37'
  • goal Thomas Partey 53'
  • goal Mohammed Kudus 58'

Madagascar vs Ghana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 19, 2025 4.00pm
CAR 1 - 4 Madagascar

Ghana

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Mar 21, 2025 7.00pm
Ghana 5 - 0 Chad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 45.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.29%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ghana would win this match.

Result

Madagascar 25.99% (-1.23)
Draw 28.09% (-0.53)
Ghana 45.91% (+1.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.99% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.7% (+1.09)
Under 2.5 61.29% (-1.09)
Over 3.5 18.78% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 81.21% (-0.81)
Over 4.5 7.65% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 92.35% (-0.45)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 60.05% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 39.95% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 23.39% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 76.61% (+0.42)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5 73.26% (+1.43)
Under 0.5 26.74% (-1.43)
Over 1.5 37.99% (+1.84)
Under 1.5 62.01% (-1.84)

Score analysis

Madagascar 25.99%
Draw 28.08%
Ghana 45.91%
Madagascar
1-0 @ 9.8% (-0.53)
2-1 @ 5.93% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.31)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.12)
3-2 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 25.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.17)
0-0 @ 10.68% (-0.44)
2-2 @ 3.91% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 28.08%
Ghana
0-1 @ 14.09%
0-2 @ 9.29% (+0.37)
1-2 @ 8.53% (+0.24)
0-3 @ 4.09% (+0.32)
1-3 @ 3.75% (+0.25)
2-3 @ 1.72% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.35% (+0.16)
1-4 @ 1.24% (+0.13)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 45.91%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Nov 17, 2023 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Baba Yara Stadium
  • Inaki Williams 90'+6' goal
  • Mohammed Kudus 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rajo Razafindrabe 51'
  • yellowcard Rayan Raveloson 77'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
African Nations Championship
Jan 15, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Municipal de Mahamasina
  • Solomampionona Razafindranaivo 10' goal
  • Tokinantenaina Randriatsiferana 61' goal
  • goal Augustine Agyapong 67'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Jun 1, 2022 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mohammed Kudus 53' goal
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 56' goal
  • Osman Bukari 86' goal
  • Daniel Amartey 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jerome Mombris 65'