Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fmadlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgamlog.png)
-
Rayan Raveloson
25'
-
Clement Couturier
45'+2'
-
Alasana Manneh
85'
-
Yankuba Minteh
90'+7'
Madagascar vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fgambia.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Madagascar
32.1%
▲
(+1.20)
Draw
29.36%
▲
(+0.08)
Gambia
38.55%
▼
(-1.27)
Both Teams to Score:
43.53%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5
36.72%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
63.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
17.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
82.67%
Over 4.5
6.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 4.5
93.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5
63.85%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 0.5
36.15%
▼
(-0.89)
Over 1.5
27.06%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 1.5
72.94%
▼
(-0.90)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5
68.17%
▼
(-0.77)
Under 0.5
31.83%
▲
(+0.77)
Over 1.5
31.74%
▼
(-0.89)
Under 1.5
68.27%
▲
(+0.89)
Score analysis
Madagascar
32.09%
Draw
29.35%
Gambia
38.55%
Madagascar
1-0
@
11.7%
▲
(+0.28)
2-1 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 32.09%
2-1 @ 6.82% ▲ (+0.19)
2-0 @ 5.96% ▲ (+0.29)
3-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.12)
3-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 32.09%
Draw
1-1
@
13.4%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.35%
0-0 @ 11.5%
2-2 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.35%
Gambia
0-1
@
13.17%
▼
(-0.28)
1-2 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 38.55%
1-2 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.33)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.19)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 38.55%