Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 4, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
  • Youssouf M'Changama 37' goal
  • goal Musa Barrow 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 63'
  • yellowcard Joseph Ceesay 64'
  • yellowcard Ebrima Darboe 89'

Comoros vs Gambia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Gambia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Comoros 32.67% (-1.30)
Draw 30.47% (+0.01)
Gambia 36.86% (+1.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.78% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 33.36% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 66.64% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 14.98% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 85.02% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 5.61% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 94.39% (+0.04)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 62.42% (-0.99)
Under 0.5 37.58% (+0.99)
Over 1.5 25.64% (-0.98)
Under 1.5 74.36% (+0.99)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5 65.33% (+0.82)
Under 0.5 34.67% (-0.82)
Over 1.5 28.6% (+0.86)
Under 1.5 71.4% (-0.86)

Score analysis

Comoros 32.67%
Draw 30.46%
Gambia 36.86%
Comoros
1-0 @ 12.75% (-0.31)
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 6.24% (-0.33)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 32.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.5% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 13.03% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.46%
Gambia
0-1 @ 13.8% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 7.31% (+0.34)
1-2 @ 7.15% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 2.58% (+0.18)
1-3 @ 2.53% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 36.86%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 7, 2021 3.00pm
Stade de Moroni