Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 4, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi

Comoros
1 - 1
Gambia

M'Changama (37')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Barrow (45+1')
Minteh (63'), Ceesay (64'), Darboe (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Comoros and Gambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Last Game: Comoros 2-2 Mozambique (1-3 pen.)
Sunday, July 7 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Gambia

All competitions

Last Game: Gambia 5-1 Seychelles
Saturday, June 8 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Comoros had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.31%) and 1-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Comoros win was 1-0 (12.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Gambia
32.67% ( -1.29)	30.47% ( 0)	36.86% ( 1.3)

Both teams to score 40.78% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.36% (

-0.09)

66.64% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.98% (

-0.06)

85.02% (

0.06)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.42% (

-0.98)

37.58% (

0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.64% (

-0.98)

74.36% (

0.98)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.33% (

0.82)

34.67% (

-0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

0.86)

71.4% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Comoros 32.67%

Gambia 36.86%

Draw 30.46%

Comoros	Draw	Gambia
1-0 @ 12.75% ( -0.3) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 32.67%	1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.46%	0-1 @ 13.8% ( 0.35) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.86%