Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.85%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (7.82%).