World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 8, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade Municipal de Berkane

Gambia
5 - 1
Seychelles

Badamosi (10', 66'), Barrow (52' pen.), Minteh (55'), Sidibeh (78')
Gaye (24'), Bobb (28'), Ceesay (68'), Manneh (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Henriette (14')
Marie (48'), Mellie (84'), Joubert (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Gambia and Seychelles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Seychelles

Last Game: Seychelles 0-5 Kenya
Monday, November 20 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.3%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Seychelles
72.26% ( -0.18)	18.73% ( 0.04)	9% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 36.99% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.8% (

0.19)

52.2% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09% (

0.16)

73.9% (

-0.16)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.88% (

13.12% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.24% (

0.01)

39.76% (

-0.01)

Seychelles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.57% (

0.41)

57.42% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.72% (

0.23)

89.27% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Gambia 72.25%

Seychelles 9%

Draw 18.73%

Gambia	Draw	Seychelles
2-0 @ 15.53% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 15.3% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 72.25%	1-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.73%	0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.31% Total : 9%