World Cup Qualifying - Africa
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-
Muhammed Badamosi
10'
-
Omar Gaye
24'
-
Yusupha Bobb
28'
-
Musa Barrow
52'
-
Yankuba Minteh
55'
-
Muhammed Badamosi
66'
-
Edrissa Ceesay
68'
-
Adama Sidibeh
78'
-
Alasana Manneh
84'
-
Ryan Henriette
14'
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Benoit Marie
48'
-
Warren Mellie
84'
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Densley Joubert
87'
Gambia vs Seychelles - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.3%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.
Result
Gambia
72.26%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
18.73%
▲
(+0.05)
Seychelles
9%
▲
(+0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
36.99%
▲
(+0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.8%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
52.2%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
26.09%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
73.9%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 4.5
12.06%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
87.94%
▼
(-0.11)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5
86.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
13.12%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
60.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
39.76%
▼
(-0.01)
Seychelles Goals
Over 0.5
42.57%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 0.5
57.42%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
10.72%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 1.5
89.27%
▼
(-0.23)
Score analysis
Gambia
72.25%
Draw
18.73%
Seychelles
9%
Gambia
2-0
@
15.53%
▼
(-0.13)
1-0 @ 15.3% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.25%
1-0 @ 15.3% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 10.52% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.84% ▲ (+0.04)
4-0 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.02)
5-0 @ 2.17% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 72.25%
Draw
1-1
@
8.49%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.73%
0-0 @ 7.53% ▼ (-0.06)
2-2 @ 2.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 18.73%
Seychelles
0-1
@
4.18%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 9%
1-2 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 9%
Head to Head
International Friendlies