Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.