Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda

Madagascar
1 - 1
Comoros

Carolus Andriamatsinoro (9')
Hadari Raheriniaina (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

M'Changama (41')
Bourhane (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Madagascar and Comoros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 Madagascar
Thursday, September 5 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Comoros

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Comoros 1-1 Gambia
Wednesday, September 4 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Madagascar	Draw	Comoros
25.79% ( -0.32)	28.9% ( 0.02)	45.31% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 41.82% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.05% (

-0.23)

63.95% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.85% (

-0.16)

83.15% (

0.16)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.35% (

-0.42)

41.65% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.87% (

-0.37)

78.13% (

0.36)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

0.04)

28.32% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.95% (

0.06)

64.05% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Madagascar 25.79%

Comoros 45.31%

Draw 28.9%

Madagascar	Draw	Comoros
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.19% Total : 25.79%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.47% Total : 28.9%	0-1 @ 14.88% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 9.39% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 45.31%