Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 9, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda
  • Charles Carolus Andriamatsinoro 9' goal
  • El Hadari Raheriniaina 86' yellowcard
  • goal Youssouf M'Changama 41'
  • yellowcard Yacine Bourhane 61'

Madagascar vs Comoros - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Madagascar

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 8.00pm
Tunisia 1 - 0 Madagascar

Comoros

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 4, 2024 5.00pm
Comoros 1 - 1 Gambia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 45.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.39%) and 1-2 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Madagascar win it was 1-0 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result

Madagascar 25.79% (-0.32)
Draw 28.9% (+0.03)
Comoros 45.31% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.82% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.05% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 63.95% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 16.85% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 83.15% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 6.59% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 93.41% (+0.09)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 58.35% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 41.65% (+0.42)
Over 1.5 21.87% (-0.37)
Under 1.5 78.13% (+0.37)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5 71.68% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 28.32% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 35.95% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 64.05% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Madagascar 25.79%
Draw 28.9%
Comoros 45.31%
Madagascar
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.71% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 1.67% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 25.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 11.79% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 28.9%
Comoros
0-1 @ 14.88% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 9.39% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.95% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.46% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 45.31%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 7, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT FNB Stadium
  • Rayan Raveloson 1' goal
  • Rado Niaina Rabemananjara 3' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Amada 26' yellowcard
  • Rayan Raveloson 66' goal
  • Tendry Manovo Mataniah Randrianarijaona 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rafidine Abdullah 7'
  • yellowcard Kassim M'Dahoma 89'
  • goal El Fardou Ben 90'+4'
COSAFA Cup
Jul 13, 2021 11.00am
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium