Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fgamlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Ftunlog.png)
-
Ali Sowe
14'
-
Ebou Adams
90'+6'
-
Ali Abdi
11'
-
Ferjani Sassi
59'
-
Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane
76'
-
Haythem Jouini
90'+7'
Gambia vs Tunisia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F36%2Fgambia.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Gambia had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Gambia win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
Result
Gambia
33.31%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
27.24%
▼
(-0.04)
Tunisia
39.45%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
49.82%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
44.41%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 2.5
55.59%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
23.24%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 3.5
76.76%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
10.26%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
89.74%
▼
(-0.07)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5
68.73%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 0.5
31.27%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
32.38%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
67.62%
▼
(-0.13)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5
72.49%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 0.5
27.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
36.98%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
63.02%
▼
(-0.08)
Score analysis
Gambia
33.31%
Draw
27.23%
Tunisia
39.45%
Gambia
1-0
@
10%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.31%
2-1 @ 7.5% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.81% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.31%
Draw
1-1
@
12.9%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
0-0 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
Tunisia
0-1
@
11.1%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 39.45%
1-2 @ 8.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.16% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 39.45%
Farouk Ben Mustapha
45'+3'