World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 5, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Olympique de Rades

Tunisia
1 - 0
Eq Guinea

Ali Ben Romdhane (82' pen.)
Meriah (14'), Laidouni (25'), Ltaief (87'), Ali Ben Romdhane (90+2'), Ben Said (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Akapo (9'), Buyla (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Equatorial Guinea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tunisia

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: New Zealand 0-0 Tunisia (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Mali	3	2	5
2	South Africa	3	2	4
3	Namibia	3	-3	4
4	Tunisia	3	-1	2

Equatorial Guinea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Cape Verde 1-0 Eq Guinea
Monday, March 25 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	3	6	7
2	Nigeria	3	2	7
3	Ivory Coast	3	-3	3
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 17.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.95%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.

Result
Tunisia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
55.66% ( 0.04)	26.87% ( -0)	17.46% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 37.62% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.68% (

-0.02)

64.32% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.59% (

-0.01)

83.41% (

0.02)

Tunisia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.46% (

0.01)

23.54% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.41% (

0.01)

57.59% (

-0.01)

Equatorial Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.2% (

-0.05)

50.79% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.8% (

-0.03)

85.2% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Tunisia 55.65%

Equatorial Guinea 17.46%

Draw 26.86%

Tunisia	Draw	Equatorial Guinea
1-0 @ 17.29% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.09% 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.48% 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 55.65%	0-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 26.86%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.46%