Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 15, 2024 at 2pm UK

Al-Hilal Stadium

Sudan
2 - 0
Ghana

Hamed Mahmoud (62'), Abdel Rahman (65')
Mustafa Mohamed (82'), Yousif (87'), Nooh (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Semenyo (24'), Mensah (32'), Adjei Adjetey (41'), Adjei Adjetey (85'), Kudus (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sudan and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ghana 0-0 Sudan
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Ghana

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ghana 0-0 Sudan
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.98%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Ghana
16.17% ( 0.09)	25.59% ( 0.08)	58.24% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 38.41% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38% (

-0.12)

62% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.26% (

-0.09)

81.74% (

0.09)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.91% (

0.06)

51.09% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.6% (

0.04)

85.4% (

-0.04)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.53% (

-0.12)

21.47% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.5% (

-0.18)

54.5% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Sudan 16.17%

Ghana 58.23%

Draw 25.58%

Sudan	Draw	Ghana
1-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 16.17%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 16.87% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 12.98% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 58.23%