World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 2pm UK

Juba Stadium

South Sudan
0 - 3
Sudan

Wani Adebo Levi (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Khidir Safour Daiyeen (45+3'), Mozamil (51'), Abdel Rahman (78')
Abdel Rahman (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between South Sudan and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

Last Game: Togo 1-1 South Sudan
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Sudan

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Mauritania 0-2 Sudan
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 43.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudan would win this match.

Result
South Sudan	Draw	Sudan
27.17% ( -0.34)	29.37% ( -0.15)	43.46% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 41.56% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.27% (

0.3)

64.72% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.3% (

0.21)

83.7% (

-0.21)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.12% (

-0.12)

40.87% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.55% (

-0.11)

77.44% (

0.1)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.3% (

0.41)

29.7% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.25% (

0.5)

65.75% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

South Sudan 27.16%

Sudan 43.45%

Draw 29.35%

South Sudan	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.28% Total : 27.16%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 12.13% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.35%	0-1 @ 14.73% 0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.38% Total : 43.45%