World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 11, 2024 2.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Juba Stadium
  • Ivan Wani Adebo Levi 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohamed Abdel Rahman 45'+1'
  • goal Walieldin Khidir Safour Daiyeen 45'+3'
  • goal Yasir Mozamil 51'
  • goal Mohamed Abdel Rahman 78'

South Sudan vs Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

South Sudan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 5, 2024 5.00pm
Togo 1 - 1 South Sudan

Sudan

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 6, 2024 5.00pm
Mauritania 0 - 2 Sudan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 43.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 27.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a South Sudan win it was 1-0 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudan would win this match.

Result

South Sudan 27.17% (-0.34)
Draw 29.37% (-0.15)
Sudan 43.46% (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.56% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 35.27% (+0.30)
Under 2.5 64.72% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 16.3% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 83.7% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 6.3% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 93.7% (-0.12)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 59.12% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 40.87% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 22.55% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 77.44% (+0.11)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 70.3% (+0.42)
Under 0.5 29.7% (-0.42)
Over 1.5 34.25% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 65.75% (-0.51)

Score analysis

South Sudan 27.16%
Draw 29.35%
Sudan 43.45%
South Sudan
1-0 @ 10.85% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 5.9% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 4.86% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 27.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 12.13% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.58% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 29.35%
Sudan
0-1 @ 14.73%
0-2 @ 8.95% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 8.01% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 3.62% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 3.24% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.45% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.1% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 43.45%