Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 22, 2024 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Municipal de Berkane
  • Luis Leal dos Anjos 50' goal
  • goal Joseph Dhata 78'

Sao Tome & Principe vs South Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

All competitions

South Sudan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Sao Tome & Principe 31.83% (+0.05)
Draw 26.33% (+0.08)
South Sudan 41.83% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.19% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.63% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 52.36% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 25.95% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 74.05% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 11.96% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 88.04% (+0.18)

Sao Tome & Principe Goals

Over 0.5 69.36% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 30.63% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 33.12% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 66.88% (+0.15)

South Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 75.24% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 24.75% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 40.68% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 59.31% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Sao Tome & Principe 31.83%
Draw 26.33%
South Sudan 41.83%
Sao Tome & Principe
1-0 @ 8.97% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.31% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.09% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.33%
South Sudan
0-1 @ 10.58% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.83%