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Africa Cup of Nations

Sao Tome and Principe national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Mar 22, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade Municipal de Berkane
South Sudan national football team

Sao Tome
1 - 1
South Sudan

Leal dos Anjos (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dhata (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sao Tome & Principe and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Tome & Principe

Last Game: Sao Tome 0-2 Namibia
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

South Sudan

Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, November 21 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.39%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawSouth Sudan
31.83% (0.049999999999997 0.05)26.33% (0.079999999999998 0.08)41.83% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63% (-0.312 -0.31)52.36% (0.311 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (-0.268 -0.27)74.05% (0.267 0.27)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (-0.123 -0.12)30.63% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.144 -0.14)66.88% (0.143 0.14)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.24% (-0.206 -0.21)24.75% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68% (-0.287 -0.29)59.31% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Sao Tome & Principe 31.83%
    South Sudan 41.83%
    Draw 26.33%
Sao Tome & PrincipeDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.31% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 31.83%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.58% (0.093 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.44% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 41.83%

How you voted: Sao Tome vs South Sudan

Sao Tome & Principe
21.4%
Draw
21.4%
South Sudan
57.1%
14