Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nacional de OMBAKA

Angola
2 - 1
Sudan

Mabululu (51' pen.), Nteka (81')
Karshom (39'), Carmo (54'), Nteka (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Karshom (55')
Gaafar Alhagi (38'), Mabululu (38'), Achrine (48'), Adil (68'), Al Rashed (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Angola and Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Angola

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Ghana 0-1 Angola
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Sudan

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Sudan 1-0 Niger
Wednesday, September 4 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 67.6%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 10.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.36%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Angola in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Angola.

Result
Angola	Draw	Sudan
67.6% ( 0.64)	21.61% ( -0.33)	10.79% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 35.6% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.9% (

0.44)

58.1% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.23% (

0.34)

78.77% (

-0.34)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

0.37)

16.51% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

0.66)

46.25% (

-0.66)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.64% (

-0.32)

57.36% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.76% (

-0.18)

89.24% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Angola 67.6%

Sudan 10.79%

Draw 21.61%

Angola	Draw	Sudan
1-0 @ 17.06% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 15.36% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.91% Total : 67.6%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.61%	0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.43% Total : 10.79%