Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK

Baba Yara Stadium

Ghana
0 - 1
Angola

Mumin (45+5'), Seidu (72')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Milson (90+4')
Milson (90+7'), Mata (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ghana and Angola, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ghana

All competitions

Last Game: Ghana 4-3 CAR
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Angola

All competitions

Last Game: Angola 5-0 Namibia
Sunday, July 7 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ghana win with a probability of 45.82%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Angola had a probability of 26.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ghana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Angola win it was 0-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Ghana	Draw	Angola
45.82% ( 0.27)	27.86% ( 0.17)	26.32% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 44.82% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.64% (

-0.8)

60.36% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.49% (

-0.61)

80.51% (

0.61)

Ghana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.65% (

-0.22)

26.35% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.5% (

-0.3)

61.49% (

0.31)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

-0.82)

39.14% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

-0.78)

75.85% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Ghana 45.82%

Angola 26.32%

Draw 27.85%

Ghana	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.96% Total : 45.82%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.48% Total : 26.32%