COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jul 3, 2024 at 2pm UK

Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium

Lesotho
1 - 3
Angola

Fothoane (26')
Motebang (70'), Moerane (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Depu (42' pen.), Pedro Nanque (63'), Miro (90+5' pen.)
Picas (61'), Paulo Andrade (67')

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Lesotho and Angola.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: Namibia 2-1 Lesotho
Monday, July 1 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Angola

All competitions

COSAFA Cup

Last Game: Angola 3-2 Seychelles
Monday, July 1 at 11am in COSAFA Cup

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Angola	3	3	7
2	Burkina Faso	3	-1	4
3	Mauritania	3	-1	3
4	Algeria	3	-1	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 35%. A win for Angola had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.06%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Angola win was 0-1 (12.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Lesotho	Draw	Angola
35% ( 1.46)	30.04% ( -0.78)	34.95% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 42.04% (

2.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.77% (

2.37)

65.22% (

-2.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.95% (

1.62)

84.04% (

-1.62)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.85% (

2.33)

35.14% (

-2.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1% (

2.36)

71.89% (

-2.37)

Angola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82% (

0.83)

35.18% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

0.86)

71.93% (

-0.86)

Score Analysis

Lesotho 35%

Angola 34.95%

Draw 30.03%

Lesotho	Draw	Angola
1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.15% Total : 35%	1-1 @ 13.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.36% ( -1.13) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.03%	0-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.87) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.14% Total : 34.95%