Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 4, 2024 at 2pm UK

Juba Stadium

Sudan
1 - 0
Niger

Eisa (51')
Thierry (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diabate (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Sudan and Niger, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudan

All competitions

Last Game: South Sudan 0-3 Sudan
Tuesday, June 11 at 2pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Nigeria	3	5	9
2	Egypt	3	1	6
3	Sudan	3	-3	1
4	Guinea-Bissau	3	-3	1

Niger

All competitions

Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-0 Niger
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ghana	3	4	7
2	Mali	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Niger	3	-4	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Niger had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sudan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sudan.

Result
Sudan	Draw	Niger
42.11% ( 0.13)	28.45% ( -0.01)	29.44% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 45.03% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.01% (

-0.04)

60.99% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.01% (

-0.03)

80.99% (

0.02)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

0.05)

28.61% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

0.07)

64.41% (

-0.08)

Niger Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.08% (

-0.12)

36.91% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.29% (

-0.12)

73.7% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Sudan 42.1%

Niger 29.43%

Draw 28.45%

Sudan	Draw	Niger
1-0 @ 13.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.63% Total : 42.1%	1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.45%	0-1 @ 10.52% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.43%