Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Niger had a probability of 29.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 2-1 (8.24%). The likeliest Niger win was 0-1 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sudan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sudan.