MX23RW : Friday, April 18 17:03:26| >> :600:97719:97719:
Central African Republic national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Mar 19, 2025 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal
Madagascar national football team

CAR
1 - 4
Madagascar

Gambor (9')
(76'), Arnold Yangana-Ba-Komi (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Raveloson (17', 21'), Randrianantenaina (49'), Rafanomezantsoa (89')
Caddy (40'), Niaina Rabemananjara (88'), Niaina Rabemananjara (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Central African Republic and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: CAR 0-1 Gabon
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Central African Republic 1-0 Madagascar

With home support absent due to the neutral venue, the Central African Republic could face a challenge, but their strong record in this fixture, coupled with Madagascar's recent struggles, suggests they have the edge to grind out a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Central African RepublicDrawMadagascar
36.83% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13) 28.58% (0.032 0.03) 34.58% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.6% (-0.111 -0.11)60.39% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.46% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)80.54% (0.082000000000008 0.08)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.58% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)31.42% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (-0.159 -0.16)67.79% (0.157 0.16)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.12% (0.007000000000005 0.01)32.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.55% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Central African Republic 36.83%
    Madagascar 34.58%
    Draw 28.57%
Central African RepublicDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 11.95%
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.83%
1-1 @ 13.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 11.49% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: CAR vs Madagascar

Central African Republic
65.9%
Draw
22.0%
Madagascar
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 2pm
Group Stage
CAR
2-0
Madagascar
Mafouta (40', 82')
Mar 23, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
0-3
CAR
Ngoma (36'), Mafouta (45', 79')
rhs 2.0
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