World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Mar 19, 2025 at 4pm UK

Stade Municipal

CAR
1 - 4
Madagascar

Gambor (9')
(76'), Arnold Yangana-Ba-Komi (76')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Raveloson (17', 21'), Randrianantenaina (49'), Rafanomezantsoa (89')
Caddy (40'), Niaina Rabemananjara (88'), Niaina Rabemananjara (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Central African Republic and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 0-1 Gabon
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Madagascar

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Comoros 1-0 Madagascar
Monday, November 18 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Madagascar
36.83% ( -0.13)	28.58% ( 0.03)	34.58% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 46.03% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.6% (

-0.11)

60.39% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.46% (

-0.09)

80.54% (

0.08)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

-0.14)

31.42% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.21% (

-0.16)

67.79% (

0.16)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

0.01)

32.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.55% (

0.01)

69.45% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 36.83%

Madagascar 34.58%

Draw 28.57%

Central African Republic	Draw	Madagascar
1-0 @ 11.95% 2-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 36.83%	1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.58%