World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 19, 2025 4.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Municipal
  • Hugo Gambor 9' goal
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Bertillo Arnold Yangana-Ba-Komi 76' yellowcard
  • goal Rayan Raveloson 17'
  • goal Rayan Raveloson 21'
  • yellowcard Warren Caddy 40'
  • goal Arnaud Randrianantenaina 49'
  • yellowcard Rado Niaina Rabemananjara 88'
  • yellowcard Rado Niaina Rabemananjara 88'
  • goal Lalaina Rafanomezantsoa 89'

Central African Republic vs Madagascar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 10, 2024 8.00pm
Ghana 4 - 3 CAR

Madagascar

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last game
Jun 11, 2024 2.00pm
Madagascar 0 - 0 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Madagascar had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Madagascar win was 0-1 (11.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Central African Republic 36.83% (-0.14)
Draw 28.58% (+0.04)
Madagascar 34.58% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.03% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.6% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 60.39% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 19.46% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 80.54% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 8.03% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 91.97% (+0.05)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 68.58% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 31.42% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 32.21% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 67.79% (+0.16)

Madagascar Goals

Over 0.5 67.12% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.55% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.45% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Central African Republic 36.83%
Draw 28.57%
Madagascar 34.58%
Central African Republic
1-0 @ 11.95%
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 6.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.67% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.3% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.32% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.57%
Madagascar
0-1 @ 11.49% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 7.4% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.74% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.58%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 27, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Louis Mafouta 40' goal
  • Louis Mafouta 82' goal
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 23, 2023 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Isaac Ngoma 36'
  • goal Louis Mafouta 45'
  • goal Louis Mafouta 79'