Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lesotho in this match.