Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 14, 2024 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Orlando Stadium
  • Neo Mokhachane 51' goal
  • yellowcard Michael Yuken Kanguite 68'

Lesotho vs Central African Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 2.00pm
Lesotho 0 - 2 Gabon

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 8.00pm
CAR 0 - 4 Morocco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lesotho win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 25.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lesotho win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lesotho in this match.

Result

Lesotho 48.31% (-0.04)
Draw 26.04% (-0.29)
Central African Republic 25.65% (+0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.33% (+1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.72% (+1.28)
Under 2.5 54.28% (-1.28)
Over 3.5 24.33% (+1.06)
Under 3.5 75.67% (-1.05)
Over 4.5 10.94% (+0.66)
Under 4.5 89.06% (-0.66)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 77.51% (+0.53)
Under 0.5 22.48% (-0.53)
Over 1.5 43.96% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 56.04% (-0.77)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 63.64% (+0.98)
Under 0.5 36.36% (-0.98)
Over 1.5 26.86% (+0.98)
Under 1.5 73.14% (-0.98)

Score analysis

Lesotho 48.31%
Draw 26.03%
Central African Republic 25.65%
Lesotho
1-0 @ 12.2% (-0.42)
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.1% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.58% (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.12)
4-1 @ 1.71% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 1.69% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 48.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.16)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.03%
Central African Republic
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 6.24% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 4.18% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.41% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 25.65%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 5, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
  • Louis Mafouta 1' goal
  • Louis Mafouta 24' goal
  • Venuste Baboula 59' yellowcard
  • Goduine Koyalipou 62' goal
  • yellowcard Rethabile Rasethuntsa 19'
  • yellowcard Tsepang Sefali 22'
  • goal Sera Motebang 56'
  • yellowcard Sera Motebang 86'