Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Orlando Stadium

Lesotho
0 - 1
Morocco

Motebang (81'), Toloane (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Diaz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Lesotho and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lesotho

Last Game: CAR 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Morocco

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Morocco 4-1 Gabon
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 61.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 14.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.67%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lesotho win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Morocco in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result
Lesotho	Draw	Morocco
14.26% ( 0.23)	23.87% ( 0.48)	61.87% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 38.75% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.73% (

-1.24)

59.27% (

1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.32% (

-0.96)

79.68% (

0.96)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.82% (

-0.4)

52.18% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.88% (

-0.27)

86.12% (

0.26)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

-0.73)

18.97% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.49% (

-1.22)

50.51% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Lesotho 14.26%

Morocco 61.86%

Draw 23.86%

Lesotho	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 3.48% 2-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.25% Total : 14.26%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 16.45% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 13.67% 1-2 @ 8.9% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 0-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.49% Total : 61.86%