World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade d'Agadir

Congo
0 - 6
Morocco

Makouta (12'), Andzouana (15'), Tsouka (29'), Jeordon Otanga Mvouo (83')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Ounahi (8'), Riad (16'), El Kaabi (20', 39', 53'), Rahimi (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Congo and Morocco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Congo

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 1-1 Congo
Monday, March 25 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Congo	3	3	7
2	Angola	3	1	5
3	Burkina Faso	3	-2	2
4	Cameroon	3	-2	1

Morocco

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Morocco 2-1 Zambia
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	4	7
2	Congo DR	3	0	3
3	Zambia	3	-1	2
4	Tanzania	3	-3	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 48.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Congo had a probability of 23.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Congo win it was 1-0 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
Congo	Draw	Morocco
23.72% ( 0.08)	27.88% ( -0.01)	48.4% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 42.7% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.02% (

0.08)

61.98% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.28% (

0.06)

81.72% (

-0.06)

Congo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.56% (

0.12)

42.44% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.18% (

0.11)

78.81% (

-0.11)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.18% (

0.01)

25.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21% (

0.01)

60.79% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Congo 23.72%

Morocco 48.38%

Draw 27.87%

Congo	Draw	Morocco
1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.1% Total : 23.72%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.87%	0-1 @ 14.83% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 10.04% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 48.38%