CAR3 - 1Lesotho
Form, Standings, Stats
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Wednesday, July 3 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
We said: Central African Republic 2-1 Lesotho
The Central African Republic have looked very good this year and would have taken massive heart from that performance against Ghana back in June. While this is not actually a home game for Les Fauves, we fancy they will secure all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 8.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.88%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central African Republic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central African Republic | Draw | Lesotho |
73.01% ( 0.83) | 18.57% ( -0.24) | 8.41% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 35.22% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
