Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 5, 2024 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
  • Louis Mafouta 1' goal
  • Louis Mafouta 24' goal
  • Venuste Baboula 59' yellowcard
  • Goduine Koyalipou 62' goal
  • yellowcard Rethabile Rasethuntsa 19'
  • yellowcard Tsepang Sefali 22'
  • goal Sera Motebang 56'
  • yellowcard Sera Motebang 86'

Central African Republic vs Lesotho - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

All competitions

Lesotho

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 8.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.88%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central African Republic would win this match.

Result

Central African Republic 73.01% (+0.83)
Draw 18.57% (-0.24)
Lesotho 8.41% (-0.59)

Both Teams to Score: 

35.22% (-1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.76% (-0.73)
Under 2.5 53.23% (+0.73)
Over 3.5 25.2% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 74.79% (+0.63)
Over 4.5 11.49% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 88.51% (+0.40)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 86.79% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 13.21% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 60.05% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 39.95% (-0.05)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5 40.59% (-1.79)
Under 0.5 59.41% (+1.79)
Over 1.5 9.65% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 90.35% (+0.97)

Score analysis

Central African Republic 73%
Draw 18.57%
Lesotho 8.41%
Central African Republic
2-0 @ 16.07% (+0.49)
1-0 @ 15.88% (+0.47)
3-0 @ 10.85% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.23)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.15)
4-0 @ 5.49% (+0.18)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 2.22% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.13)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 73%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.23)
0-0 @ 7.85% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 2.18% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 18.57%
Lesotho
0-1 @ 4.09% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 2.15% (-0.19)
0-2 @ 1.06% (-0.10)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 8.41%