Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 6, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade d'Agadir
  • Hakim Ziyech 10' goal
  • Abdel Abqar 15' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 26' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 59' goal
  • Ayoub El Kaabi 82' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 40'

Morocco vs Gabon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions

Gabon

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.84%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result

Morocco 66.57% (-0.88)
Draw 21.86% (+0.48)
Gabon 11.57% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

37.16% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.65% (-0.77)
Under 2.5 57.35% (+0.77)
Over 3.5 21.83% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 78.17% (+0.62)
Over 4.5 9.41% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 90.59% (+0.37)

Morocco Goals

Over 0.5 83.4% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 16.6% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 53.59% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 46.41% (+1.02)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5 44.55% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 55.45% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 11.85% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 88.15% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Morocco 66.56%
Draw 21.86%
Gabon 11.57%
Morocco
1-0 @ 16.52% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 14.84% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 3.99% (-0.20)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 66.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.75% (+0.19)
0-0 @ 9.2% (+0.27)
2-2 @ 2.58% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.86%
Gabon
0-1 @ 5.43% (+0.21)
1-2 @ 2.87% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.6% (+0.08)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 11.57%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 18, 2022 7.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jim Allevinah 21' goal
  • Johann Obiang 36' yellowcard
  • Aaron Boupendza 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Nayef Aguerd 81' goal
  • yellowcard Sofyan Amrabat 38'
  • goal Sofiane Boufal 74'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 84'
International Friendlies
Oct 15, 2019 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Grand Stade de Tanger (Tanger)
  • Nordin Amrabat 32' goal
  • Nordin Amrabat 69' goal
  • goal Aaron Boupendza 22'
  • yellowcard Denis Bouanga 44'
  • goal Denis Bouanga 48'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 49'
  • goal Issam Chebake 81' (OG)