Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade de Franceville

Gabon
0 - 0
Lesotho

Toloane (17'), Malakia Sefoli (41'), Mats'oele (44'), Makhele (53'), Makateng (71'), Moerane (90+3'), Lebokollane (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gabon and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Gabon 2-0 CAR
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Lesotho

Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Morocco
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.39%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.4%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Lesotho
67.49% ( 1.62)	22.63% ( -0.97)	9.88% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 30.91% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.96% (

1.52)

63.04% (

-1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.51% (

1.09)

82.49% (

-1.09)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.65% (

1.19)

18.35% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.54% (

1.98)

49.46% (

-1.98)

Lesotho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.86% (

-0.38)

62.14% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.29% (

-0.18)

91.7% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Gabon 67.49%

Lesotho 9.88%

Draw 22.63%

Gabon	Draw	Lesotho
1-0 @ 19.33% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 16.39% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.35) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 67.49%	0-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.66) 1-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.63%	0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.98% Total : 9.88%