Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Sep 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Franceville

Gabon
2 - 0
CAR

Aubameyang (11' pen.), Babicka (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Mafouta (34'), Gambor (84'), Godame (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gabon and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Last Game: Morocco 4-1 Gabon
Friday, September 6 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 3-1 Lesotho
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.51%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gabon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gabon.

Result
Gabon	Draw	Central African Republic
71.55% ( -0.56)	18.79% ( 0.3)	9.66% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 39.19% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.37% (

-0.49)

50.62% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.46% (

-0.43)

72.53% (

0.43)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.14% (

-0.3)

12.85% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.77% (

-0.63)

39.23% (

0.63)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.97% (

0.24)

55.02% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.1% (

0.14)

87.89% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Gabon 71.54%

Central African Republic 9.66%

Draw 18.79%

Gabon	Draw	Central African Republic
2-0 @ 14.88% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 71.54%	1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.39% Total : 18.79%	0-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.58% Total : 9.66%