Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 10, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade de Franceville
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 11' goal
  • Shavy Babicka 40' goal
  • yellowcard Louis Mafouta 34'
  • yellowcard Hugo Gambor 84'
  • yellowcard Tieri Godame 90'+6'

Gabon vs Central African Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Gabon

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 6, 2024 8.00pm
Morocco 4 - 1 Gabon

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 5, 2024 5.00pm
CAR 3 - 1 Lesotho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 9.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.51%) and 3-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Gabon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Gabon.

Result

Gabon 71.55% (-0.56)
Draw 18.79% (+0.31)
Central African Republic 9.66% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.19% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.37% (-0.49)
Under 2.5 50.62% (+0.49)
Over 3.5 27.46% (-0.44)
Under 3.5 72.53% (+0.43)
Over 4.5 12.95% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 87.04% (+0.29)

Gabon Goals

Over 0.5 87.14% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 12.85% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 60.77% (-0.63)
Under 1.5 39.23% (+0.63)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 44.97% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 55.02% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 12.1% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 87.89% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Gabon 71.54%
Draw 18.79%
Central African Republic 9.66%
Gabon
2-0 @ 14.88% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 14.51% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 10.17% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.89% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.22% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 2.14% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.82% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 71.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.67% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 7.07% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 2.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.79%
Central African Republic
0-1 @ 4.23% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 2.59% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 1.26% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 9.66%